A second bakery in March
Work · Board of 3Stress-test our plan: a second bakery in March. $180k build-out — $60k from savings, a $120k loan at 9%. The first shop makes $38k profit a year. Break it.
Chief of staff
A stress test needs seats whose job is to break things: The Skeptic, The CFO and The Operator. Each puts the plan through hostile cases alone, then they react to one another.
The SkepticRisk Assessor
The CFOFinancial Controller
The OperatorCOO

Asked first
If the new shop sells half what the first does for a year, can the first cover the loan?
EasilyJustNo
The board’s call
Open in March. The plan survives on two conditions: a fixed-price build-out, and a second head baker hired before you sign the lease.
Three hostile cases: the build-out runs 30% over, the new shop sells half as much in year one, your one head baker is split between two shops. The first two bend the plan — the first shop’s $38k a year covers a loan payment of about $1,900 a month even if the second makes nothing. The third breaks it.

The Skeptic disagreed
“The plan rests on one person: you. With two shops you are in neither, and nobody modeled that case”
Board of 3 · about 95 credits on the card · an example, not a recorded run










